Showing posts with label angel investing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label angel investing. Show all posts

Friday, June 12, 2009

The Basics of the Financial Food Chain

Here's the basics of the financial food chain for newbies. Good honest info on this from ReadWriteWeb (as usual) but there's a lot more info out there on each rung of the ladder. If you're interested in learning more about each step, do you homework!

http://www.readwriteweb.com/readwritestart/2009/06/the-capital-raising-ladder.php

The Capital-Raising Ladder
Written by
Bernard Lunn / June 11, 2009 4:55 PM / 3 Comments

This is one post/chapter in a serialized book called Startup 101. For the introduction and table of contents, please
click here.


The amount of capital you will need depends on what kind of venture you plan to build. You may need to go no further than the first rung of the ladder. You might be able to build a very good business that meets all of your financial needs without raising a dime from anybody. You might also strike it lucky and get phenomenal growth without needing capital. But being under-capitalized is a big source of venture failure. So you need to assess how much capital you'll need. Your chances of realistically getting that capital should factor into your planning. If you can reach only the lower rungs of the ladder, don't plan a business that needs higher levels out of your reach. If your first venture is a success, the other steps on the ladder will be more easily accessible if you decide to pursue another venture.


10 Steps on the Ladder
You may need only a few of these steps. This is not meant to be a "do this, then do this, and then do this" progression. You can skip steps and stop at any point.

  • No cash, moonlighting, sweat
  • Credit card or savings (personal round)
  • Friends and family round
  • Incubators
  • Serious angels and small VCs
  • Classic VCs
  • Corporate VCs
  • Non-recourse working capital bank loans
  • IPO
  • Exit: Capital Realization


Our aim with this chapter is to help you understand what these investors want. Habit #5 in Steven Covey's "7 Habits of Highly Successful People" is:
Seek first to understand. Then to be understood.


1. No Cash, Moonlighting, Sweat
This is the earliest possible phase, when all you need is to build a website that can be uploaded to your server and that demonstrates your idea. If you are a non-technical entrepreneur, this step is not feasible. The non-techie equivalent would be a business concept: identifying a big gap in the market, doing enough research to be credible, and developing a unique approach to filling this gap.


2. Credit Card or Savings (Personal Round)
Now you need to load your site onto a production server (or create a fancy slideshow) and buy business cards. Maybe your phone bill just went up, or you need to travel somewhere to meet someone. No problem; no need to ask anyone for money. Just keep track of these little items. They are pre-operating expenses. If you get to profitability without external investors, these loans of yours to the company can be re-paid. If you raise external capital, this is almost always regarded as sweat equity (meaning you don't get it back until exit time, when you sell your equity).


Be careful. Loading up on credit card debt is risky. You almost always need more money than you think, and it takes longer than you think to raise real money. You can rack up a sizable debt fairly quickly. If your credit card company tightens up, you'll have no options. If your venture fails, you'll be left with a nasty bill, probably with crippling interest rates.


3. Friends and Family Round
You are now at the stage where this venture of yours might really take off. But now you need more than you can afford but less than is sensible to ask from an angel. This is the friends and family round, people who "invest" because they know you, like you, and trust you. Don't take this as validation of your venture. It is purely validation of how they feel about you.


Keep the deal simple. This has to be convertible debt. That means:
They loan the money to your business,
It converts into equity at the first equity round.


This lets you avoid having to ask your friends and family to valuate your venture. They are not experts, and it makes for difficult conversations with people who still like you.


Your friends and family will always be important to you... more important to you than this venture. Don't make promises you are not 100% sure about. Be totally open and transparent, and do your best. If you follow these simple rules and your venture fails, you at least won't lose your friends and family.


Document what has been agreed on, even if only with an email trail. Memories may prove faulty.


4. Incubators
The US alone has 600 technology incubators. One may be near you.
Some are little more than office space and offer no real value: don't waste your time with them. Look for ones with a track record of successfully incubating ventures. That track record means that angels and VCs look to these incubators for deal flow, meaning you will get access to capital when you need it.


Incubators should give you four things:


Cash. Not all incubators have cash to invest. Look for the ones that do. This could replace a friends and family round. They might do a convertible deal, letting the angels or VCs set the valuation. That is ideal. If they insist on a percentage for a small amount of cash, take a long hard look at their track record. Those deals of, say, 10% of the venture for $20,000 may work for some first-time entrepreneurs if the incubator can really deliver the credibility and network you need. But note that later investors make their decisions based on the merits of your venture. The incubator just gets you through the door and may coach you on what to say as you walk through. Is that worth 10%? Because $20,000 is probably not worth 10%.


Services on a deferred-payment basis. These would be from vendors (landlords, lawyers, accountants, designers, advisors, etc.) who get paid only after the venture is funded. So, these vendors are also betting on the incubator's track record.
Mentorship and championing. This should come from the person in the incubator who really believes in your venture but also challenges you at every step to make sure you are really ready to take it to the next level. Look for a mentor/champion who has been an entrepreneur. There has to be chemistry. See the chapter on
Building An Advisory Board and follow those guidelines when choosing a mentor/champion in an incubator. Yes, you choose them. It is not just about them choosing you.


A network of entrepreneurs and investors they can tap into on your behalf.
Why do successful entrepreneurs put time and money into becoming incubators?:
To get in on the ground floor of a great venture and make some money.
The buzz of startup life is addictive.
To do some good, and repay the good fortune they have had.
To help the local region. Perhaps they came from here, went to Silicon Valley because it was their only option, but wished they had an incubator like them locally when they were starting out.


Good incubators are a great rung on the ladder. But choose carefully: some will only waste your time


5. Serious Angels and Small VCs
Serious angels do what they do for a living. That is their day job. Sure, they love it and are passionate about it, but they also want to make money from investing. These serious angels are very different from the person in a full-time job who enjoys the distraction of hearing pitches and occasionally writing small checks.


The serious angels operate just like small VC firms. Some work in association with other angels so that they can provide enough funding that the company doesn't have to rely on VCs too early on. Some have raised money from other angels and in effect become small VC funds themselves. Serious angels take all of these steps because of one overriding fear:


They fear getting squeezed by a VC that invests in a later round.


As an entrepreneur, you need to be sensitive to that fear. Almost all entrepreneurs are too optimistic about their plan. They assume they can reach whatever milestone they have with less time and money than they really need. Then, when the venture runs out of money, the angel has two options:


Invest more money. At this point, they are investing in an entrepreneur who has not hit their numbers and whose credibility is questionable. So this does not feel good. The smart ones will just assume at the outset that they will have to invest way more money than you are asking for. For example, if you say, "We can get to profitability (or some other milestone) with $500,000," they will assume that something more like $1 million is needed and plan accordingly (by reserving as much of their or their partner's capital as is needed).


Get squeezed by a VC. In this case, their stake will be massively diluted. Say they invested $500,000 and got a 20% stake. Now, the venture is running out of money and needs $3 million urgently. The venture has good prospects, so VCs are interested. Some VCs will extract harsh terms under these conditions. Angels obviously don't like being treated this way. The venture is a winner, and they spotted it early, so why should they be the loser in this game? Bear in mind that you, the entrepreneur, get squeezed in this situation as well, but you are in a better position than the angel because the VC needs you to continue working to build value. But basically, this is bad news all around.


You can avoid this situation in two ways:


Be more realistic in your business planning. Yes, this is hard. Planning with multiple levels of uncertainty is hard. That is why investors, who know this fact very well, usually want more time to evaluate your venture than you'd like to give them. Use the angel's experience to help you with business planning. Check your assumptions against their experience. The mechanics of a spreadsheet are simple; the mistakes always lurk in one or two main assumptions. This is why the real-world experience of your advisor, incubator champion, or angel is critical.
Work with angels who, with their partners, have enough cash to invest if you do end up needing more money than planned. Work with angels who have a strong track record and good connections with people on the next rung of the ladder: the classic VC funds. VC funds are less likely to squeeze (read, alienate) an angel who they know is a great source of ventures.


6. Classic VCs
If you are a serial entrepreneur who has already built and sold a VC-funded company, you can jump straight to this rung of the ladder. If not, don't even think about it. For Web technology ventures, classic VC funds have become a source of late-stage expansion capital. Some of those VCs are getting back in the early-stage game by one of three methods:


Establishing a separate early-stage fund. Unless the VC has different partners, this separate fund is probably little more than a name and hypothetical allocation of money.


Acting as Incubator. This works like a convertible loan and can be a great solution.


Cultivating a network of friendly angels. The idea here is that they send deals to these angels, who bring those deals back when the ventures need more money.


Be careful. Many classic VCs like to work with a few "entrepreneurs in residence" to create ventures in-house. Their interest in any of these projects may be no more than due diligence.


In short, if you don't have a good relationship with a classic VC, don't start here.


7. Corporate VCs
Higher up on the ladder are corporate VCs. They get their deal flow from classic VC funds and invest with strategic objectives. They typically look to grow the market for their core product. They may want a minority stake in a venture that they see value in acquiring later on. Corporate VCs can be great, but make sure the deal does not come with strings attached that would scare off other potential acquirers.


8. Non-Recourse Working Capital Bank Loans
This is the high-five moment for bootstrapped ventures. It means you have been profitable for a while but need working capital because of fast growth. Most banks like to fund these. The big deal about non-recourse loans is that you are not personally liable. The bank uses your company's cash flow as collateral. For entrepreneurs who have gone into personal debt to build their venture, this is a big, big milestone.


9. IPO
This is the golden ticket for a VC-backed business. Well, at least it used to be. And it may be so again. It is another rung on the capital-raising ladder. You do an IPO to raise money, at least in theory. In reality, the larger motivation is to get your stock tradable (i.e. "liquid") so that you and your investors can sell some of it.


10. Exit: Capital Realization
The final step is to realize value by selling some or all of your stock either in a trade sale or to public market investors if you have done an IPO.
If you are starting out, then yes, all of the steps above the fifth rung on the ladder may as well be on the moon. But as with anything, take it one step at a time.

Tuesday, May 26, 2009

$500K is the new $5 Million: Good article on First Round Capital

Good article on the ins and outs of First Round Capital and some of the other well known angels/seed funds in the valley.

The most accurate insight in the article: "$500,000 is the new $5 Million"

The Future of Tech May 21, 2009, 5:00PM EST
'Super Angels' Shake Up Venture Capital


As large VC firms cut back, a hungry bunch of seed-stage investors are helping entrepreneurs get their ideas off the ground
By
Spencer E. Ante

Earlier this year, as the stock market plunged, most bankers and other financiers hoarded capital and throttled back on new deals. But not Josh Kopelman. Even in the bleakest months, the co-founder of the venture capital firm First Round Capital hustled after startups to write them checks.

Take one sunny morning in February. Kopelman sits in the San Francisco loft of First Round's West Coast office across a table from Gary Briggs. A veteran entrepreneur, Briggs just took over as CEO at Plastic Jungle, a startup building an online marketplace where consumers can buy, sell, or trade gift cards. "There's about $40 billion of unused gift cards on retailers' balance sheets," says Briggs, so focused he doesn't touch the salad ordered in for his lunch.

Kopelman hops up to sketch on a whiteboard. He wants Briggs to describe in detail how Plastic Jungle makes money. "So you get a fee here?" Kopelman asks, drawing a thicket of lines and figures. The CEO explains that with each sale or transfer of a gift card, the company takes a commission. The VC ends the meeting by saying he wants to "kick the site's tires" and confirm retailers' willingness to sell cards on the site. A week later, First Round agrees to pay $1 million for an equity stake.

Even faced with a financial world aflame, Kopelman and a wave of new investors are running straight for the fire. It may be bravery or foolishness, but they're funding startups and entrepreneurs at a time when almost everyone else is holding back. In the latest sign of conflagration, venture capital investment plummeted 61% in the first quarter, to $3 billion, the lowest level since 1997. Only $169 million of that went to companies seeking their first round of venture money, what's known as seed-stage investments.

Kopelman thinks the problems in venture capital go beyond the recession. He says many old-line firms have gotten too big and unwieldy to build innovative companies the way they used to, and many angels, individuals who invest in startups, don't have enough money to back most high-tech ideas. Kopelman and a band of up-and-comers are championing a different tack. They want to reinvigorate venture capital by taking it back to its roots, when firms were smaller, more nimble, and more likely to help startups get off the ground. "I don't think a lot of people have been entrepreneurial about venture capital," says Kopelman.

Besides First Round, these "super angels," as they're called in the industry, include Baseline Ventures, Maples Investments, and Felicis Ventures. They're pushing ahead and financing startups even as big-name venture firms cut back and conserve capital until the economy improves. First Round Capital has quietly become the country's most active seed-stage investor, outpacing such marquee names as Sequoia Capital and Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers. In fact, First Round bet on the online personal finance site Mint.com after Sequoia took a pass on the deal—and watched the startup blossom into a rival to Intuit (INTU). "They took a risk on a 25-year-old kid," says Mint.com chief Aaron Patzer, who's now 28.

Kopelman's aggressiveness stands in sharp contrast to the accepted wisdom on Sand Hill Road, the heart of the venture business in Silicon Valley. Last fall Sequoia gave a presentation to its portfolio companies, entitled "R.I.P. Good Times," urging them to slash spending quickly. It was a defining moment in the downturn: Many venture firms took it as a wake-up call to shut struggling startups and halt most new investments.

Kopelman could pay a steep price for moving in the opposite direction. While he has a track record of strong returns and is considered a rising star in the venture field, he has never faced the risks he does today. Not only does he confront the usual challenges of startups but he also could get tripped up by a litany of economic problems. "Investing in young companies is always risky," says Josh Lerner, a professor at Harvard Business School. "Investing in young companies during a time of enormous economic uncertainty is particularly risky."

Getting the venture model right may be crucial for the U.S. economy, whether it's done by Kopelman or someone else. Over the past 60 years the money and expertise provided by venture firms has led to the creation of thousands of companies, including Intel (INTL), Genentech (DNA), FedEx (FDX), and Google (GOOG). A study by the National Venture Capital Assn. found that U.S. venture-backed companies generated 10 million jobs and 18% of the nation's gross domestic product from 1970 to 2005.

FLY ON THE WALL
Kopelman got an early start in the business. His grandfather, Herman Fialkov, founded chip pioneer General Transistor and later started the venture firm Geiger & Fialkov. Kopelman interned at the firm the summer after he finished high school, tagging along with his grandfather to board meetings and to hunt for deals on Long Island. "I was the fly-on-the-wall note taker," says Kopelman.


Now 38, Kopelman crisscrosses the U.S. twice a month from his Philadelphia home to look over 2,300 potential deals a year and stay on top of companies he's backing. We first met over lunch in a Manhattan eatery. As he sat down, Kopelman argued the traditional venture approach is fundamentally flawed: "When you look at the math of venture, I think it is broken."

Kopelman grabbed a napkin and began scribbling. Venture firms raise money from institutional investors and wealthy individuals in discrete funds (usually known by such names as First Capital I, First Capital II, etc.). To give a fund's investors a 20% annual return, the firm needs to triple the money raised within a six-year period, Kopelman said. For a $400 million fund, that means returning $1.2 billion to investors. Since VCs typically don't want the risk of holding more than 20% of the companies they invest in, they have to help build a few companies with a total of $6 billion in market value. But in the past few years only a handful of companies have sold or gone public for more than $1 billion. "You sit there and say, 'Holy crap, that model doesn't work,' " said Kopelman.

What's a venture capitalist to do? For Kopelman and other super angels, the answer is to get small. Over the past five years they have launched funds with $100 million or less and financed hundreds of companies, including Facebook, Digg, and Twitter. Ten years ago, when it cost $5 million to launch a startup, firms such as First Round couldn't exist. But thanks to plummeting technology costs, Kopelman & Co. can help companies launch products today for less than $1 million. "Five hundred thousand is the new $5 million," says Mike Maples Jr., who founded Maples Investments three years ago.

Super angels still aim for billion-dollar exits, but their model doesn't hinge on home runs. Instead, they can profit by hitting singles and doubles and reducing their strikeouts. First Round's second fund, raised in 2007, was $50 million. So Kopelman needs to return $150 million to the investors to hit a 20% annual return. His firm has done better than that: Its first two funds have generated a 35% annual rate of return after fees, says one investor in the funds. Among its successes: StumbleUpon, a Web recommendation tool bought by eBay, and search engine Powerset, acquired by Microsoft.

Established venture firms argue that the super-angel model has limits. Michael Moritz, whose Sequoia Capital backed Google, Cisco Systems (CSCO), and Electronic Arts (ERTS), says big venture firms can do certain kinds of deals that smaller ones can't. With $1 billion, for example, you can back capital-intensive startups in green energy or explore deals in China and elsewhere abroad. Still, super angels play an important and growing role, Moritz says. "My guess is more of it happens over the next few years because of the dearth of financing [for early-stage deals]," he says.

NOT FOR THE FAINTHEARTED
Kopelman's strategy—and strong returns—have won him deep-pocketed supporters. The endowments at Yale, Princeton, and Northwestern universities signed up for First Round's third fund, a $125 million vehicle raised last year. Another backer is Christopher A. Douvos, co-head of private equity investing for the Investment Fund for Foundations, an investment adviser for nonprofits. He agreed to put tens of millions into the third fund. Still, he says there are clear risks to investing in such early-stage deals. "You have to have courage to invest in this strategy," Douvos says.


One day this spring, Kopelman lines up back-to-back-to-back meetings in his San Francisco outpost. The loft has tall ceilings and a foosball table. After interrogating a young entrepreneur in the first meeting, Kopelman quickly lets him know his idea needs refinement. "There's one thing I've learned about entrepreneurs' business plans," he says, bringing the meeting to a close. "Every one is wrong."

Kopelman would know. His early experience in venture capital gave him the confidence to hatch a startup while still an undergraduate at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He took the company public in 1996 when he was just 25. In 1999 he left to start an online marketplace, Half.com, for used books and videos. A year later, eBay (EBAY) bought Half.com for $312 million.

Today, Kopelman sees a wealth of opportunities in building businesses on information freely available on the Web (what he calls "data exhaust") or ones that are disrupting markets with cheaper Web technology. After the first meeting, Kopelman settles in to brainstorm with one of those disruptors. Kevin Reeth is CEO of Outright.com, a provider of online bookkeeping software that just launched its first product.

In this exchange, Kopelman switches roles, becoming more parent than prosecutor. After Reeth explains his main challenge is customer acquisition, Kopelman suggests hiring a marketing exec and launching a guerrilla marketing campaign. The idea: Set up a Web site,
canyougetconfirmed.com, that would play off of the troubles former Senator Tom Daschle ran into when Obama nominated him for a Cabinet post. The site would lure customers with free tax tips. Reeth likes it.

Kopelman and partner Rob Hayes adjourn the meeting and scramble to make a flight to Southern California. An assistant hands them their bags, tickets, and travel info, and they whirl out the door. "Welcome to Josh's world," says the assistant.

STRESS-TESTING BUSINESS PLANS
In March, Kopelman meets with Jose Ferreira, chief executive of an online education startup called Knewton, at its spartan headquarters in New York's Greenwich Village. Knewton sells LSAT and GMAT prep courses online, in competition with giants Kaplan and Princeton Review (
REVU), but its aim is to use the Web to offer better teaching for less money. Whereas textbooks provide the same material to everyone, Knewton has developed an adaptive technology tailored to the strengths and weaknesses of each student. Knewton is betting its software may be adopted by publishers and other education companies.

Knewton's board has already approved two partnerships, including one deal to license its technology to a rival company. Ferreira wants to cut more deals. But Kopelman says he is concerned that if Knewton does more deals it will spread itself too thin. Tension fills the air. "The most powerful word a CEO can say is no," Kopelman tells Ferreira.

"What happens if Princeton Review comes to us and wants to make a deal?" asks Ferreira.
Kopelman does not budge. "It's worth going to Boston to see them," he says. "But promise me you won't sign anything. I want to see deal points." Ferreira agrees.


Kopelman knows First Round needs to keep taking risks. That's why his firm just launched an event called Office Hours, a sort of American Idol for aspiring entrepreneurs. Several times a year, First Round will offer anyone the opportunity to get 10 minutes with Kopelman and his partners to stress-test their business plan. "We think it's important when a lot of VCs are cutting back that we get out there and see as many people as we can," he says.

One recent gathering took place at Live Bait, a watering hole in New York's Flatiron district. An intern at the firm asks everyone to sign a log-in sheet. It's first come, first served. At 2 p.m. Kopelman orders a sandwich at the bar, sits down at a table, and starts talking. First Round partner Howard Morgan grabs another table. The atmosphere recalls the informality of the early venture days, when firms such as Sequoia and the Mayfield Fund would meet at the Mark Hopkins Hotel in San Francisco for lunch and bat around ideas.

Entrepreneurs arrive, then mill around the bar. By 2:45, 35 people have showed up, including two who drove 90 minutes from Philadelphia. "My hands are cold," says Yasmine Mustafa to her partner, Aaron Hoffer-Perkins. "That means I am nervous." The duo are quitting their jobs to launch a company that helps bloggers make money from their sites.

When the intern says it's their turn, Yasmine springs up and the two walk over to meet Kopelman. Ten minutes later they head back to the bar for a drink on First Round's tab. "It was awesome," says Yasmine. "It actually spawned new ideas, which is what we want before we develop the product."

"Always fast, always to the point, no B.S.," adds Aaron.

I check in with Kopelman around 3:15. With the deep troubles on Wall Street, Kopelman says he's surprised at the level of entrepreneurial action in New York. "It's going great," he says.

Peering down at his notebook, Kopelman says he has already met with eight entrepreneurs and heard two original ideas. "Several ideas we are going to follow up with," he says. Then he quickly heads back in to meet more entrepreneurs.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

More bad news (sorry!) from the Angel Capital Association

Some more bad news (sorry) from the angel investing side this time. THe whole article is below but this is the key info:

But in November, 15.1% of angel groups expected to “invest in a greater portion of existing portfolio companies.” That percentage grew to 32.3% in the latest survey, which seems to mirror the thinking of venture capital firms, which are concentrating more money on their own portfolio companies than in new deals.

Also, in November 23.7% of angel groups checked off “raise a new fund” in 2009. That percentage was cut in half to 12.3% in the latest survey.

http://blogs.wsj.com/venturecapital/2009/05/20/angel-investors-opinions-change-on-economy-investing/?mod=rss_WSJBlog

Angel Investors’ Opinions Change On Economy, Investing

By Scott Austin
The Angel Capital Association, a trade organization for North American angel investment groups, released a survey today that updates the opinions of its members from when they were last polled in November.

The differences between the two surveys - the latest canvassed members in March and April - is minimal in most places, with many of the results fluctuating by just a few percentage points. But there are a few major changes of opinion to highlight.

With the question, “Do you plan any major changes to your group structure or investment process in 2009?” respondents were able to check off up to 11 answers that apply to them. Most of the answers came back relatively the same percentage-wise. For instance, 28% of respondents in the November survey expected to “significantly grow the number of member investors” in their groups, while 29.2% in the latest survey expected to do so.

But in November, 15.1% of angel groups expected to “invest in a greater portion of existing portfolio companies.” That percentage grew to 32.3% in the latest survey, which seems to mirror the thinking of venture capital firms, which are concentrating more money on their own portfolio companies than in new deals.

Also, in November 23.7% of angel groups checked off “raise a new fund” in 2009. That percentage was cut in half to 12.3% in the latest survey.

Further in the survey, respondents show they are more pessimistic about the economy than they were a few months ago but more optimistic they’ll find better deals as a result. With the question, “How long do you estimate the credit crunch/ current market conditions will last?”

35.9% of respondents in November expected the fourth quarter of 2009 while 40.3% said 2010. Now, 26.6% said the fourth quarter and 56.2% believe 2010. However, 23.7% in the newest poll said they “might more aggressively seek new deals on an opportunity basis,” higher than 14.8% from November.

To view the two surveys, click here for the newly released one and here for the one issued on Dec. 1. Besides expectations, the survey also breaks down the investment data for 2008. A few highlights: the average total investment per group in 2008 was $1.77 million, down 9% from 2007; the average number of deals made fell 16% to 6.3; and the average investment per deal rose 4% to $276,918.

One note: the ACA does not represent individual angels, but only angel groups which pool a number of “accredited investors” together under one umbrella and invest their money together. The ACA represents 162 of these groups.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Interesting tidbits on Angel Investing

The GrowThink guys are at it again - they've dug up some interesting insights on today's Angel Investing market. i liked these two tidbits", but the rest are good to know as well.
  • Return expectation per deal for investments by successful angels: 30x
  • Proportion of business angels that expect a 10 times or better return: 45.4% (what they actually get is another matter...)

These Truths About Angel Investing Will Surprise YouWritten by Jay Turo on Tuesday, May 12, 2009 Categories:


Scott Shane, one of the world's most respected statisticians regarding entrepreneurship and angel investing, has a new book out - "Fools Gold? The Truth Behind Angel Investing in America." It is without question the finest compilation of statistics and cold, hard facts regarding the REALITIES - as opposed to the myths - of the keys to successful angel and emerging company investing. Some amazing statistical nuggets from Scott's book:
  • The book's 12 chapters have a combined 692 source references! Compare this to the average "this is what I think with absolutely no basis in numbers" opinions that pass for wisdom on CNBC, on the world of Internet financial blogs, and from your friendly neighborhood financial advisor
  • Average portfolio return for angel investors participating in organized angel groups: 27% annual return (quoting this study)
  • Return expectation per deal for investments by successful angels: 30x
  • Proportion of business angels that expect a 10 times or better return: 45.4% (what they actually get is another matter...)
  • Number of companies founded each year that achieve $10 million or more in sales in 6 years: 3,608
  • Number of companies founded each year that achieve $100 million or more in sales in 6 years: 175
  • Share of drug start-ups that go public: 20.3%
  • Portion of venture capital dollars invested in the top five industries for venture capital: computer hardware, software/Internet, semiconductors and other electronics, communication (including mobile) and biotechnology - 81%
  • Top reasons why people invest in private companies: To make money (obviously), to learn new things, to pay it forward
  • Number of companies financed by business angels in a typical year: 50,700-57,300
  • Amount invested by business angels in a typical year: $23 billion
  • % of Angel Investors with net worths of LESS than $1 million: 66.7% (really an amazing statistic as the SEC definition of an accredited investor is a person with a net worth of greater than $1 million)
  • 45 to 54 - Age range with the highest odds of making angel investments - disputes the myth that most angel investor are retired
  • Proportion of angel investments that involve co-investment with VCs - less than 1.1 percent
  • Proportion of angel investments made in retail and personal service businesses - 37.5 percent. (Note: If you just make a rule to NOT invest in these 2 areas, your probability of emerging company investing success goes up dramatically)


As working with and investing in entrepreneurial companies is my life's work, I read this book extremely closely and found it both invigorating and challenging. Invigorating in that it confirmed, with statistics, the superiority of private company investment returns vis a vis all other investment classes. And frustrating in that it starkly outlines the very basic mistakes that most private company investors make over and over again that prevent them from being a successful investor in this asset class.


My overall takeaway: If you want to invest in private company deals, only do so via one of two avenues: 1) Via a GOOD angel investment group like The Band of Angels or the Tech Coast Angels (if you can get in) or via a managed portfolio approach such as a private equity or venture capital fund targeted toward the space or via a hybrid, operational approach like Growthink.